Showing posts with label national assets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label national assets. Show all posts

Monday, February 27, 2012

The flow of money & things


‘The most complete & extraordinary surrender of the entire industrial resources of a kingdom into foreign hands.’

That was the reaction of Lord Curzon to the news of 1872 that a British citizen, Baron Julius de Reuter, had won a concession to run the industry, and to exploit the resources of & print the money of Persia.

A generation later, in 1901, a Devon-born millionaire, William Knox D’Arcy, negotiated the first oil concession in the country we now know as Iran.

Within 12 years all Iranian oil was British property &, at the end of WWI, Britain took control of Iran’s treasury, military & transport system under the Anglo-Persian Agreement of 1919.

These were just business deals to support British entrepreneurs; Iran was never formally a colony of the British Empire, it retained its own crowned head of state in the Shah & a prime minister. But the Anglo-Persian Oil Company was Britain’s largest overseas asset, its profits & dividends adding to the Gross National Income of the UK.

Out of all this came, eventually, the company we know today as BP – now only 44% British owned.

And next week a court in New Orleans begins hearings in a case which is expected to cost BP & its co-defendants billions of dollars in compensation to 110,000 plaintiffs following the 2010 offshore oil disaster at Deepwater Horizon.

It would be fascinating to see if an economic or financial historian could chart the international flows of all this investment & income since William D’Arcy’s first venture into the field.

These thoughts have been largely inspired by a fine column by Ben Macintyre in The Times of 21 February in which he explains how history colours the current Iranian attitude to Britain: ‘What Britons saw as investment, Iranians regarded as pillage’ & today are still ready to believe that Britain is ‘secretly working behind the scenes to destroy the Iranian Government’ & repossess its oil.

Today’s Anglo-Saxon model of the global economy welcomes foreign inward investment, believing in fact that capital (unlike people) has no nationality, is not even, (in the manner in which it whizzes round the world in unbelievably large amounts in astonishingly small slices of time) ‘real’ at all, just a web of electronic promises, promises & (collateralised) obligations.

And even when this foreign money does turn real, in the form of manufacturing, transport, utilities, newspapers & most of the houses in central London, we get the benefit of all those goods & services in which we no longer have the money to invest. According to Yolande Barnes of the upmarket property company Savills, writing also in The Times, we are now almost entirely reliant on the success of the expensive private developments, which attract foreign buyers, to fund new affordable housing.

At least these foreign investors have no one national identity of their own, there is no one country for us to fear might demand a direct role in our governance.

In 1980, at the height of the Iranian hostage crisis, Jimmy Carter described as ‘ancient history’ the US involvement in the restoration of the Shah in 1953.

Not quite such ancient history to us as we celebrate the 60th anniversary of the accession of our Queen, who was crowned on a rainy day in 1953.

When our great-grandchildren look back from 2152, when 2012 is as far away as 1872 is to us, will they then share Lord Curzon’s astonishment?

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

Family silver

When one sells the family silver, one does not usually continue to gain value from its use.

So said the Earl of Gowrie in a House of Lords Debate in 1984 soon after Harold Macmillan's famous attack on Mrs Thatcher's privatisation policies.

Now Who Owns Our City, a report by the University of Cambridge & Development Securities shows that more than half of all the buildings in the Square Mile that constitutes the City of London are in foreign hands – up from only 8% in 1980 just after Thatcher came to power.

London attracts more foreign investment than any other city in the world. Germans are the biggest foreign owners in The City proper. And they have not even had to fight a war for it – I think we are meant to be pleased & proud, because unlike migrant workers they don’t have to actually come & live here. Instead all this interest means that City offices (in the real estate sense) show ‘remarkable resilience’ in the face of global meltdown.

And that ‘traditional owners’ – institutions, charities, public sector bodies & livery companies – have been able to swap their equity for cash.

I await with interest (the metaphorical kind) the report which will tell us what that cash has all been spent on – investments which will produce an even better return or the equivalent of new cars & foreign holidays.

Debt problems are much harder to solve without a strong asset base - isn't that what we tell the banks?

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Gambling future

In the 6 months to September 24 national lottery sales rose 1/5th - by over £500m to more than £3¼ billion.

Good causes got a slightly smaller increase (17%) – up to £918.3m from £784.8m.

£1.69 billion was paid out in prize money.

Owners Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan have asked for a 5 year extension to their licence to 2019 to help their investment plan.

More than 2,700 people have become lottery millionaires since the launch in 1994.

The success of Euro-Millions has prompted Camelot to explore the possibilities for a Global Draw.

Camelot ‘admitted’ last Friday that the highest-grossing retail outlets for a Euro-Millions rollover were mostly in the City of London & Canary Wharf.

Once a gambler, always a gambler.

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Staying in business

In this week’s edition of Radio 4’s The Bottom Line presented by Evan Davis, guest James Reed, chairman of recruitment specialist Reed, pointed out that, even a 6% reduction in GDP leaves us with 94% of the economy – much bigger than it was in, say, 1981 - & offers lots of opportunity for those who can innovate & find new ways of doing business.

For the rest of us it is also worth remembering that, although we have grown accustomed to the idea that a house is by the far our biggest & most important asset, in times like these, the only asset really worth having is a job.

As the unemployed realise only too well.


Saturday, October 29, 2011

Aliens desirable & undesirable

Much was made this week about the news that, out of every seven people in prison for offences connected with the August riots, one was a foreign national.

I wonder what those same commentators make of the fact that, in many of the poshest areas of London, a very high proportion of residents (a lot more, I would guess, than 1 in seven) are also foreign nationals, born ‘as far away as Cuba, Samoa & Vietnam’, not to mention China, Russia & the Middle East.

Why are commentators much less concerned about the foreignness of these people & the effect they have on our way of life & property prices?

Even David Aaronovitch concluede that the lastest figures just go to show that the rioters were just the usual suspects.

Too right they were - three-quarters of all those who appeared in court had a previous conviction or caution. For adults the figure was 80% and for juveniles it was 62%.

But this cannot be taken to represent rioters as a whole.

Given that you were a rioter, the chance of getting identified from film & cctv footage & picked up by the police, was much greater for those ‘already known’. Those who were ‘not known’ had a much greater chance of melting away.

Friday, September 16, 2011

Is anything safe?

In yesterday’s Times business editor Ian King commented on the success of overseas pension plans which have been investing in British assets, bemoaning the fact that the Hutton report was not prepared to look at the question of how UK pension funds invest their money & so failed to recommend that, for example, the UK Teachers’ Pension Scheme be equally adventurous, thus avoiding the need for the much-protested forthcoming rise in pension contributions payable by members.

As someone who is old enough to remember when pension funds were exhorted to follow the example of the British Rail Pension Fund & invest in works of art, but nevertheless knows very little about the subject except that it is complicated, I should want to be particularly cautious about joining the UK commercial property bandwagon, though I like the idea of infrastructure – especially power lines etc – being locally owned.

And I should really, really, like to understand enough about mark-to-market to form a view on how that affects the question of pension funds

Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Selling more assets

Amsprop Estates (prop. Lord Sugar, managed by his son) has been selling some desirable Mayfair properties for a bumper profit.

The buyers were a Dubai-based consortium & an Italian manufacturer of domestic appliances. One of the properties is occupied by the royal jewellers Asprey & Garrard.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Woods & trees & paper money

Oberthur Technologies have dropped their bid for de la Rue.

I note that, among all the protests about the proposed sale (sell off or sell out) of Forestry Commission assets, has been not one expression of concern over the possibility of foreign ownership.


The English forests sailed the oceans of the world & found new lands full of wildernesses & more forests waiting to be cut down - Kate Atkinson: Human Croquet


Monday, December 06, 2010

Power & control

On Friday the Office of Fair Trading published the first national stocktaking report of the ownership of the UK infrastructure assets. Almost two-fifths of our energy, water, transport & communications are owned by foreigners.

The OFT has concluded that, because of healthy competition in the market, this has not led to poorer service for UK consumers. So that's all right then.

But then on Monday came the news that even our money may be taken over – not just by any old foreigners but by the French. De La Rue (whose founder came from Guernsey) has received a takeover offer, now confirmed to be from Oberthur Technologies.

Thursday, November 25, 2010

The illusion of income

All of a sudden it seems the difference between GDP & GNP has become real & important again, at least for commentators on Ireland.

In what Robert Peston calls a ‘refreshingly frank’ address Patrick Honohan, the governor of Ireland’s central bank said that GDP overstates the size of the Irish economy & productivity by including income which does not accrue to Irish residents. Last week a commentator on RTÉ1 said that part of the mad euphoria of the Celtic Tiger years came when Ireland’s GDP per head rose above that in the UK, & Irish residents formed the mistaken belief that they themselves were richer, which illusion would have been deflated if GNP per head had been compared.

But I wonder for how long might this remain true; with the rate at which our assets are being taken over might not UK GNP fall significantly below UK GDP.

Monday, November 22, 2010

Taking back what is ours

According to a report in last Thursday’s Times the UK government will have insisted that Ireland put up some high quality assets as collateral against the €7 billion loan which it is contributing to the bail out.

These could include posh hotels such as Claridge’s & the Connaught which are under the control of the Irish National Asset Management Agency.

So one small step towards regaining control.

Related post
Asset sales

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Asset sales

The latest figures of what the UK is worth - £6.7 trillion – were published in August; the homes we own (albeit with the deeds held as security for a mortgage from a bank which is largely foreign owned) or live in still make up over a half of this ‘wealth’.

I have already been noting how much commercial property has been taken over by non-UK investors such as sovereign wealth funds, but a report in yesterday’s Times has made me wonder how much of our stock of industrial buildings or civil engineering works may also be foreign owned.

E.ON (a German-owned company) is said to be about to sell off a subsidiary, Central Networks, which operates some of our electricity distribution system (pylons, substations & cables) to a consortium which includes the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority & the Canadian Pension Plan.

In March this year Central Networks formed the UK's first utility connections alliance with Morrison Utility Services.

I got dizzy in the very unaccustomed business of trying to find out who owns Morrison Utility Services. What does “March 2008 – AWG sold Morrison Utility Services to two private equity firms, Cognetas and Englefield Capital. Morrison Utility Services becomes a standalone business” mean exactly?

Still, one of the private equity firms says on its website that they welcome “complex situations and are agnostic on ownership structures”, so perhaps I am not meant to understand.

E.ON are said to be keen to sell their subsidiary to help reduce their £39 billion debt burden in London, & to use the proceeds to invest in faster growth areas in China or Brazil; but sovereign wealth investors & pension funds are keen on power grids because they offer a reliable & well-regulated long term revenue. I wonder if the BBC could solve some of its pension problems via this route.

And although I belong to the school which is persuaded that, at least after 1857, the Empire was more of a financial liability than an asset, when you think that, even a century ago, ‘we’ owned railways, mines, farms, hotels … all over the world it seems disconcerting, in that one wonders where it will all end.

Although my head is in a spin with all this, the news item did help clear up one small mystery for me. The soon-to-be-sold assets of Central Networks include cabling which connects the Peak District to Bristol. This connection presumably in turn explains why so many of the men working on a local E.ON ground source heat exchange project are travelling from the West Country to do so.


Links

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Keeping up the good work

I thought my eyes were deceiving me when I spotted a job advert in The Times headed Royal Commission for the Exhibition of 1851.

But no, this organisation still exists to make major awards to scientists and engineers for research, development and design – it has capital assets of £60m from which to make annual disbursements of about £2m.

I wonder if there will be any comparable organisation founded this year which will still be doing such good work in 160 years time.

And I just noticed – Pooh Bah* gets two ex officio seats on the Commission – one in his capacity as President of the Council & one as Secretary of State for Business, Innovation & Skills.

*Baron Mandelson of Foy in the county of Herefordshire and Hartlepool in the county of Durham.


Thursday, March 19, 2009

Income or product

In his book, Butterfly Economics, Paul Ormerod dismisses as merely technical the difference between GDP & GNP

In the context of his argument this is fair enough, but I find myself wondering just how real is the difference these days

Back in the heady 1960s, the decade of independence, new countries, new economies, new development plans, the difference was far from technical

Put simply GDP (Gross Domestic Product) was the value of everything produced within a country

GNP (Gross National Product, more often called Gross National Income these days) was the total income of the people living in the country

Income from capital – rent, profits, dividends – was the main cause of any difference

In many countries the differences were not large, but generally speaking, in developing countries GNP was lower than GDP because more of their productive assets were owned by foreigners

In the UK, though the difference was shrinking rapidly, GNP was more than GDP

The definitions have not changed. I expect in these mobile days wages & salaries earned/sent abroad play a larger role but I cannot really begin to imagine where all those ginormous international financial (or credit) flows showed up in national accounts

Sadly I have not been able to find a source which makes it easy to make direct international comparisons

Monday, January 26, 2009

Don't panic

This is a bit scary - A Thought-Provoking Bank Graphic, from Here is the City blog. Granted it shows market values, rather than balance sheet assets, but still …

Maybe Barclay’s open letter will have done a little to stop the rot

It set me thinking about the national balance sheet – terra incognita to me, though I remember a news item some years ago boasting about how much our national wealth had grown with the value of our houses & thinking: If you’ll believe that

“Residential buildings” made up getting on for 2/3rds of our national net worth of £7 trillion at the end of 2007 - measured at market value

What is even more startling is that the increase in house prices (plus whatever new building there was) accounted for most of the total increase in our wealth between the end of 1999 and 2007

Residential buildings more than doubled from £1.8 trillion to £4.3 trillion. Total net worth grew from £3.7 trillion to £7 trillion

I think I need a lie down



Link

Monday, January 05, 2009

Candyfloss economics

Gillian Tett, assistant editor of the Financial Times, gave a very nice explanation/analogy of how the credit crunch came about on Womans Hour today

It’s like candy floss. You start with a certain amount of sugar – our real assets - & spin it round & round until you have a great ball of candy floss. We think it really has grown bigger, but we have only the same amount of sugar we started with. The rest is hot air

It is easy, especially when you are young & innnocent, to consume too much & be sick before you know it

And it doesn’t take very much to shrink the floss right back down again into a squidgy mess



Related post

Saturday, September 27, 2008

A good time to borrow

The government has now given emergency funding of £1 billion - to local councils to help meet the £3 billion bill for equal pay settlements

Not that the government is handing out cash – of course not. Local authorities a free to borrow or to sell assets